Crude oil prices have had a volatile summer, with West Texas Intermediate (WTI) hitting a three-year high of $105.55 a barrel in June before settling back down near $92 this week.
Even with oil's volatility, investors can have a better idea of where the price of oil is headed if they know what causes oil prices to rise.
Money Morning’s Global Energy Strategist Dr. Kent Moors says that “one of the most predictable patterns in the markets” is behind huge spikes in the price of oil…
Where Crude Oil Prices Are Headed Next
To hear some analysts tell it, geopolitics and the weather are exogenous events when it comes to energy prices. That is, somehow crude oil prices would operate "rationally" if it weren't for either of them.
That type of thinking is costly. When investors disregard the weather, the geopolitical, or both, they lose money.So as we begin the fourth quarter, I’m going to handicap where oil prices are headed next…
Price of Oil Edges Higher – Here’s What to Look for by End of 2014
The price of oil has climbed slightly this week with West Texas Intermediate (WTI) hitting an intra-week high of $95.17 for October delivery today (Friday).
Despite this week's price hike, WTI prices are still well below the three-year high of $105 a barrel they hit in June.But even though prices have dropped the last two months doesn’t mean we’re out of the woods. The price of oil could still soar in a hurry…
How Crude Oil Prices Are Driven by the "Uncertainty Factor"
Despite current geopolitical tension, crude oil prices have remained steady.
This dynamic tells us two things. First, traders are discounting the impact of geopolitical tensions in Ukraine, Gaza, and Iraq on overall availability. Second, other hotspots are having an immediate knock-on effect when it comes to crude supply.Although the daily news does not seem to be adversely impacting the price of oil, we're not out of the woods yet. Here's why...
WTI Oil Prices Down This Week, But Headed Much Higher Long-Term
WTI oil prices were down this morning (Wednesday) to a low of $97.06 for September contracts, after the Energy Information Administration (EIA) reduced its 2014 price forecast yesterday.
Citing increased oil production in the United States, the EIA dropped its 2014 forecast for WTI oil prices to $100.45 per barrel. In July, the EIA had projected a price of $100.98 per barrel.
But according to Money Morning's Global Energy Strategist Dr. Kent Moors, oil prices will be heading much higher in the long-term.Even if the short-term outlook on oil prices remains favorable…
Crude Oil Prices Are Headed Higher Thanks to These Two Global Events
Two events this week indicate the situation in two global hotspots is getting worse, and both will have a significant impact on crude oil prices.
First, the Islamic State, the terrorist group formerly known as the Islamic State of Iraq and the Levant, attacked the Mosul Dam. Second, the mayor of Kiev in Ukraine turned off the hot water.Neither is a good sign, and each promises to shake up oil prices…
Crude Oil Prices Could Hit $200 “In a Heartbeat”
WTI crude oil prices settled back down below $100 per barrel this week, but according to Money Morning's Global Energy Strategist Dr. Kent Moors, oil prices may not stay that low for very long.In fact, he sees a potential scenario where crude oil prices double from where they are right now…
Why the Oil Price "Spread" Is Getting Tighter
The oil price spread between West Texas Intermediate and Brent is tightening again.
As of this morning, this spread stood at 7.2% of the WTI rate (the more accurate way to register its impact in the U.S. market).
And as this oil price spread continues to narrow, it promises to create some direct consequences for energy investors.Here's what's behind it, and what investors need to know moving forward...
Best Oil Stocks to Buy as U.S. Jumps to World's Top Oil Producer
It's time to look at oil stocks to buy as the United States gets ready to surpass the world's biggest oil producers.
Earlier this month, the International Energy Agency (IEA) reported that the United States will jump past both Russia and Saudi Arabia as the world's top oil producer by 2015.To continue reading, please click here...
Another Shoe Has Dropped… and It's a Big One
I wasn't more than 30 minutes outside of D.C. the other night before my cell phone started ringing.
The calls involved breaking new developments overseas that promise to have a big impact on the global energy markets. They concerned a major global energy situation that is likely to create a domino effect that will have consequences for U.S. domestic policy.To continue reading, please click here...
The Next Best Investments in Oil Come From This Texas Sweet Spot
As I wrote up this analysis of the best investments in oil, a familiar saying came to mind: "Everything old is new again."
A truer statement could not be said about the Permian Basin, which is a geological formation roughly 300 miles long and 250 miles across that stretches across west Texas and eastern New Mexico.To continue reading, please click here...
It's Time to Climb Aboard the Oil-by-Rail Boom
Rail transit is about to make you some big money...in oil.
That's why I'll be headed to Dallas in late August and Calgary mid-September for extensive meetings with all of the key players.
I can promise you, that in a hurry this is going to get a lot bigger.
As it happens, I'll be providing all of the details for average investors to profit from this monumental change.
A Big Time Squeeze for Refineries is About to Begin
After banking some very hefty profits for Energy Advantage and Energy Inner Circle subscribers on refining stocks earlier this year, the entire sector now is about to land "between a rock and a hard place."
Once a high-flying place for investors to earn substantial profits, refiners have been under pressure for the last two months. But that's actually just the beginning of what's to come.To continue reading, please click here...
Why the Fed's QE Policy is Bullish for Oil Prices
Recently, I talked about how crude was beginning to occupy a position as a store of market value ("Why Oil Is Becoming the New 'Gold Standard," May 20, 2013). The development has been a direct consequence of the flight from holding gold.
That flight may be tapering and a new floor established for the next major spike by the metal.
The problem is there is no agreement on which direction that move will be...
These days, a sudden improvement in gold prices may only extend as far as hedge funds and institutional investors covering shorts.
Nonetheless, there is an interesting parallel developing between the plight of gold and crude oil prices.To continue reading, please click here…
These Oil Stocks Are the Big Winners in This Year's "Summer Pop"
I have been "in the field" for the past several days and will be back in circulation later this week. But I wanted to send you a note on what's been taking place recently.
The last two trading sessions have seen a spike in oil stocks. The rise has been focused on companies that provide services to early-stage field development, as well as for crude production.
Now, we have witnessed a similar "summer pop" in each of the past three years. It tends to signal a rise in expected medium-term demand for both crude oil and oil products.
However this time around, the improvement isn't reflected in companies across the board, but rather in those emphasizing geographically specific field plays.To continue reading, please click here...
How to Invest in Oil's Final Frontier: The Arctic
Investors searching for how to invest in oil in 2013 should be focused on these latest developments from the Arctic.
In fact, countries are racing to get a piece of what could be the final frontier for oil...
As ice melts in the Arctic region, oil and gas trapped beneath the water becomes more accessible.
Money Morning Global Energy Strategist Dr. Kent Moors recently explained to Money Morning members about the search for Arctic oil and gas.
He spoke about the years-in-the-making U.S. Geological Survey's Circum-Arctic Resource Appraisal. The study found that 84% of the total undiscovered oil and gas left on the planet is located above the Arctic Circle, mainly offshore and in three huge basins that lie under shallow seas.Read More...