If there's one thing that I've discovered in my careers as a hedge-fund manager, investment advisor and financial columnist, it's this: Whenever you pitch a stock that has something to do with mining or metals, you'll always hear the argument that "physical metal is better."
As my experience has demonstrated, however, that's not necessarily true.
Wealth protection in hard economic times is driven by asset diversification. In good times, an investor should concentrate their investment bets on profitable enterprises, in hard times you want to diversify your assets across different asset classes. You will lose some money, but if you choose wisely, you will have real assets and value on the other side.
That's not always the case when you concentrate your assets during a period in which there's substantial market risk.
Silver... the Great Asset
One of my most recent "Buy, Sell or Hold" features dealt with Silver Wheaton Corp. (NYSE: SLW), meaning that silver is the metal at issue in this discussion.
Trust me, I know that silver is a great physical asset: I own it and use it as a currency. In fact, my last vehicle purchase was a trade for a fixed amount of silver. However, silver and gold have a downside. It can be confiscated easily by the police or criminal elements, when you are traveling. And the United States has devalued its currency overnight in the past, and has instituted a confiscation of personal gold holdings - meaning it could always do so again.
Physical metal is not typically registered in your name, so when you are robbed, you will have no proof that it was yours. However, if you are holding a stock certificate - essentially a certification of ownership in your name and not in "street name" - the company in question will have you listed in its records. With that piece of paper in hand, you can traverse national borders, without any worry about triggering any currency or metal-value rules.
If you are traveling with "real" money - currency, silver and gold, for instance - you are limited to a max weight you can realistically carry. I have a friend, who owns a major placer operation someplace in a Western nation. When returning to the United States, he's forced to transfer as many as four times moving between customs at different airports. He typically keeps his raw gold transfers to 50 pounds or less, because of the weight on his body when he moves through customs. He's even drafted family members to help him muscle the bags of gold nuggets from one point to another.
My point is this: Because of safety for the gold itself and the person packing it, there's a maximum amount of gold that my friend can move around the world. And silver is even worse. Try dragging your "net worth" around the world in the form of eight-pound silver bricks. It's legal ... but not recommended. And it's no surprise that it elicits stares from other travelers and raises the eyebrows of those in authority.
Back in the early 1980s, I had to empty my grandmother's bank vault in order to cash in silver bricks of that same type. I was in great shape at the time - I truly was - but a box with 85 pounds of silver in it isn't something that you can just tuck under your arm and stroll away with ... people notice something's up - it was even more noticeable when I placed the box in the back of the car and the rear of the car sank.
These experiences underscore why I prefer a diversified basket of financially sound investments.
Heavy Metal (Profits)
The next argument is always: "What about a fiat (currency) collapse?" The reality is this: If you own shares in a real company - I'm talking about one that has a real business, with real assets, and that you've chosen based on a decent outlook for sales and profits - those shares will be correctly "revalued" on the other side of that currency collapse.
Granted, it might take some time, which is why you want financially solid firms that pay dividends. They will adjust and send you cash in whatever the new currency is.
Before you dismiss this, I suggest that you read about how wealthy Europeans survived the 20th century, when there was a currency collapse in Germany in the 1920s and an implosion of the whole Weimar Republic in the 1930s.
The investment strategies that worked during similarly challenging stretches back then should work this time, too.
Here are just a few, including a few stories written by some of Money Morning's other columnists:
- If you're new to precious metal investing, and would like a primer, check out
Special Report: How to Buy Silver. - For a more-specialized silver strategy focusing on so-called "junk silver," take a look our special report: Though it's Called "Junk Silver," the Profits Aren't Trash.
- If you'd like to understand just why silver is suddenly in the headlines alongside gold, we'd like to recommend: Silver is Emerging From Under Gold's Shadow.
- If options are part of your personal portfolio strategy, here's a piece that ran just this week that deals specifically with using options to profit from silver: Three Ways to Play the Silver Rally - While Limiting Your Risks with Options.
- Finally, at least as far as silver goes, I'd like to recommend two pieces that I wrote myself - the "Buy, Sell or Hold" piece on Silver Wheaton that prompted this column, and a detailed strategy piece that caters to more-experienced investors: Investing in Silver: Three Ways to Profit From the Projected Breakout.
We've also dealt in depth with other metals:
- If you're a newcomer who's interested in gold, Money Morning also recently published a special-report primer on gold that's titled (appropriately enough): Special Report: How to Buy Gold.
- Colleague Martin Hutchinson, a former merchant banker himself, took a look at platinum in the recent Money Morning report: How to Profit From the Metal That's More Precious Than Gold.
- Finally, for investors who like exchange-traded securities, The Financial Times just reported that physical-metal "exchange-traded commodities" (ETCs) are on the way.
[Editor's Note: If there's one thing top global investors understand, it's that you have to "follow the money" to reap the benefits of the best profit opportunities that are available at any one time. Money flows point out the next profit opportunities. Sometimes that means "following the money" from one sector to the next. Other times that means moving from one geographic market to another.
To make those moves successfully, investors need a compass or, better yet, a guide. And successful investors will tell you, one of the best guides out there is The Money Map Report.
This monthly advisory service - an affiliate of Money Morning - employs many of the same experts whose columns you read here each day. The Money Map Report is straightforward research and investment analysis. Our writers use proprietary money-flow indicators to identify and isolate the most timely profit opportunities you'll find anywhere. For more information about The Money Map Report, please click here.]
News and Related Story Links:
- Money Morning Buy, Sell or Hold:
Buy, Sell or Hold: Silver Wheaton Corp. (NYSE: SLW) Is Poised to Profit from the White Metal's Rally - Money Morning News Archive:
Stories by Jack Barnes - Money Morning News Archive:
Buy, Sell or Hold Stories - Money Morning:
Money Morning Mailbag: Junk Silver "Math" Points the Way to Profits - Answers.com:
Placer - About.com:
Timeline of the 1900s - Wikipedia:
Inflation in the Weimar Republic - History:
Collapse of the Weimar Republic - The Financial Times:
Physical Metal ETCs Coming Soon - Money Morning:
Special Report: Though it's Called "Junk Silver," the Profits Aren't Trash - Money Morning:
Silver is Emerging From Under Gold's Shadow - Money Morning:
Investors Flock to Gold and Silver on Recovery Worries - Money Morning:
Investing in Silver: Three Ways to Profit From the Projected Breakout - Money Morning:
Special Report: How to Buy Silver - Money Morning Special Report:
How to Profit From the Metal That's More Precious Than Gold - Wikipedia:
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I find it interesting that you differentiate between the police and criminal elements when it comes to confiscation.
If someone takes something of yours by force, that makes them, by definition, a criminal.
Greetings Fallingman….
Nice to hear from you again. As always, we appreciate your taking the time to respond.
In this case, I understand your point (and agree with it, as you'll see), but don't see the relevance to this particular column.
Let me take a moment to explain.
In this particular column, Jack isn't making a value judgment here; he's merely pointing out the risks one must consider when traveling with "physical" metals in his or her possession. And, in some regions, confiscation by the official police is a risk.
In other words, for purposes of this discussion, it doesn't matter whether it's right or wrong for police to seize the gold or silver that you might be carrying; the issue is that it CAN happen — and that many investors planning to travel abroad might never even consider this particular risk.
Jack's focus here is to help readers understand the risks that holding physical metals can pose. And Jack just wanted to make sure that readers are considering ALL the angles … and ALL the risks.
(Clearly, you have thought such things through … and just let me say that, from a property-rights standpoint, we're definitely in agreement with you … we don't think it's right for agencies of the government to seize investor assets.)
A key role here here at Money Morning is to inform our readers about the issues we think they need to know about … and to provide a menu of possible precautions or solutions that they can then choose from to adapt to their personal situations.
Readers such as yourself play a key role in this process. You all offer up the concerns you have or issues you face, providing us with additional topics to research and write about. Not surprisingly, that was precisely how Jack developed the idea for this column on physical metals — from a comment in a reader letter.
So please keep those comments coming. They are greatly appreciated. And we promise to put them to good use.
Thank you, again!
Respectfully yours;
William Patalon III
Executive Editor
Money Morning
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