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Readers: This article is a follow-up to Shah's original recommendation on how to make a killing with the imminent bond market crash.
Several readers wrote in to say that "not every brokerage lets you buy this." Some do, in fact: In this day and age, many brokerages let you buy any shares, anywhere. But for those of you whose brokerages won't let you, I want to give you an alternative.
We want a trade that gives us the exposure we want, which is a bet on falling bond prices – both sovereign and corporate – across Europe.
It's hard to find an exchange-traded fund (ETF) that gives us this type of exposure. Some of the instruments that come close don't have the liquidity we need to be able to get in and out easily.
And the rest don't fit the trade profile we want.
However, there's another way to play falling bond prices across Europe…
If bond prices fall, banks and financial institutions holding them will take a tumble, too.
My recommendation would be to short EUFN here at $23.25 or higher. Personally, I have a high tolerance for risk (that's because I have the capital to risk), so I would short an equal additional amount at $24.50, more at $25.50 and more at $26.50, which is the ETF's 52-week high.
If you "average up" on this short, you'd be short at an average price of $25. I'd cover my shares at $27.50 if the ETF makes a new high there. I'd accept a 10% loss – with a frown, for sure. But a 10% loss is acceptable to me.
About the Author
Shah Gilani is Chief Financial Strategist for Money Map Press and boasts a financial pedigree unlike any other. He ran his first hedge fund in 1982 from his seat on the floor of the Chicago Board Options Exchange. When options on the Standard & Poor's 100 began trading on March 11, 1983, Shah worked in "the pit" as a market maker. He helped develop what has become known as the Volatility Index (VIX) - to this day one of the most widely used indicators worldwide. After leaving Chicago to run the futures and options division of the British banking giant Lloyd's TSB, Shah moved up to Roosevelt & Cross Inc., an old-line New York boutique firm. There he originated and ran a packaged fixed-income trading desk and established that company's "listed" and OTC trading desks. Shah founded a second hedge fund in 1999, which he ran until 2003. Shah's vast network of contacts includes the biggest players on Wall Street and in international finance. These contacts give him the real story - when others only get what the investment banks want them to see. On top of the free newsletter, as editor of The 10X Trader, Money Map Report and Straight Line Profits, Shah presents his legion of subscribers with the chance to earn ten times their money on trade after trade using a little-known strategy. Shah is a frequent guest on CNBC, Forbes, and MarketWatch, and you can catch him every week on FOX Business' "Varney & Co."