Q4 Hewlett-Packard Earnings Fail to Impress

Q4 Hewlett-Packard earningsThe Q4 Hewlett-Packard earnings (NYSE: HPQ) released today (Tuesday) after the market close were in line with expectations, but put a less-than-flattering light on a five-year turnaround plan that has yet to show convincing results.

The fourth-quarter earnings were exactly as forecast, coming in at $1.06 a share, a 5% increase from the same quarter a year ago. Revenue was $28.4 billion, falling just short of expectations for sales of $28.76 billion. Revenue was down 2% from the year-ago quarter.

Hewlett-Packard stock dipped about 1% in after-hours trading to $37.34.

"I'm excited to say that H-P's turnaround continues on track," said Hewlett-Packard Chief Executive Officer Meg Whitman, which is something she says in pretty much every earnings announcement these days. Although she did add, "There's still a lot left to do."

But the key to Hewlett-Packard's earnings lies in how each of its segments performed.

Investors are paying particular attention to HPQ's individual businesses now that the company is set to split in two next year.

Announced in early October, the idea is to spin off the legacy printer and PC business into a company called HP Inc. The corporate hardware, cloud, and software businesses, meanwhile, will become known as Hewlett-Packard Enterprise.

While the HPQ earnings had a few bright spots, most segments again declined compared to the same period a year ago. While not catastrophic, at some point soon those numbers need to start turning positive.

For that matter, the annual numbers, which H-P also released today, told the same story. Fiscal 2014 revenue of $111.5 billion was down 1% from 2013. That continues a downward trend that began in 2011 when H-P's annual sales were $127.25 billion.

And while 2014 earnings per share (EPS) of $3.74 is an improvement over last year's $3.56, much of that came from cost-cutting.

Guidance for 2015 is for EPS of $3.83 to $4.03, hopefully on the back of some kind of growth.

Now let's dig into the numbers for the individual business units...

What Matters in the Q4 Hewlett-Packard Earnings (NYSE: HPQ)

Revenue in all of HPQ's major divisions was down in the fourth quarter save one - the PC business.

While the 4% growth was not as strong as the 12% growth in the last quarter, any growth in the struggling PC market is good growth. Whether it will remain sustainable going forward is another question.

H-P's other legacy business, printing, was down 4%. This is a segment that holds great promise, however, as Hewlett-Packard prepares to jump into the 3D printing market.

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Hewlett-Packard announced a new 3D printing technology called "Multi Jet Fusion" in late October. According to Canalys, the 3D printing market will grow from $2.5 billion in 2013 to $16.2 billion by 2018. Morgan Stanley analysts believe the 3D printing market could reach $21.3 billion by 2020. It's an opportunity HPQ needs to exploit.

Revenue from H-P's enterprise servers business was also down 4%, and the services unit was down 7%. Both of these will form the backbone of the future Hewlett-Packard Enterprise, which Whitman will head. She'll be depending on those businesses for growth next year.

The best performance among the enterprise segments was the Software unit, which had a 1% decline in revenue but saw margins increase to 31.1% from the third quarter's 21.2%.

Of course, the company has some tricks up its sleeve for 2015 that could drive HPQ stock. In addition to 3D printing, Hewlett-Packard is working on a promising project called "The Machine." This technology has the potential to shrink huge, energy-sucking server farms into a single computer the size of a refrigerator.

New Life for Another Troubled Tech Legend? The current problems with IBM run deep. The most recent quarter was the tenth in a row during which sales for Big Blue were either flat or down from the year-ago quarter. But IBM does have one thing going for it. This one area could revive the company...

Follow me on Twitter @DavidGZeiler.

About the Author

David Zeiler, Associate Editor for Money Morning at Money Map Press, has been a journalist for more than 35 years, including 18 spent at The Baltimore Sun. He has worked as a writer, editor, and page designer at different times in his career. He's interviewed a number of well-known personalities - ranging from punk rock icon Joey Ramone to Apple Inc. co-founder Steve Wozniak.

Over the course of his journalistic career, Dave has covered many diverse subjects. Since arriving at Money Morning in 2011, he has focused primarily on technology. He's an expert on both Apple and cryptocurrencies. He started writing about Apple for The Sun in the mid-1990s, and had an Apple blog on The Sun's web site from 2007-2009. Dave's been writing about Bitcoin since 2011 - long before most people had even heard of it. He even mined it for a short time.

Dave has a BA in English and Mass Communications from Loyola University Maryland.

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