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Why Crime Pays for "Too-Big-To-Fail" Banks

By Shah Gilani, Chief Investment Strategist, Money Morning • @ShahGilani_TW • April 2, 2013

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Shah GilaniShah Gilani

There's a reason why the first few installments of my What Everyone Absolutely Needs to Know About Money series have been about banks.

You need to know the truth about banks.

Why? Because they rob you.

Why? Because they can.

It's the Willie Sutton bank robber quote in reverse. Willie was asked, "Why do you rob banks?"

He famously answered, while in handcuffs, "Because that's where the money is."

But, banks can't keep robbing the public if they keep shooting themselves in their feet. That's where central banks come in.

They are the real kingpins keeping their robber minions in pinstripes - instead of prison stripes.

Estimates now are that U.S. banks - the too big to fail ones - will end up paying more than $100 billion in fines, settlement costs, to buy back bad mortgages, to right some of the past wrongs related to the mortgage crisis they caused.

It could end up being more. But they're all still in business. They're able to digest these "costs of doing business," and get bigger. And the banks are making enough profits to want to "reward shareholders" by raising their dividend payouts and buying back their stock.

Then there's the LIBOR mess. Banks colluded to manipulate the London Interbank Offered Rate. LIBOR is referred to by the British Bankers' Association (an outfit populated by bankers as a kind of trade group that oversees LIBOR dissemination), as "the world's most important number."

There have been some settlements already. Three giant European banks - Royal Bank of Scotland, UBS, and Barclays - have ponied up almost $3 billion to settle matters regarding their involvement.

How much will the big American banks have to pay to settle their end of the scheming manipulation?

Nobody knows. But estimates I've seen range from $7.8 billion (I have no idea how the analyst came up with that figure... Thin air?) to more than $125 billion.

The point is that no one knows how much it will cost banks because it's impossible to calculate how so many people, businesses, municipal governments, and anybody who paid interest based on LIBOR, was adversely affected.

The banks will pay whatever they have to in order to get these matters settled. They'll all still be in business and able to digest these "costs of doing business." They'll get bigger, and make enough profits to want to "reward shareholders" by raising their dividend payouts and buying back their stock.

But the hits keep coming folks.

Now the banks are being investigated for collusion, price fixing, restraint of trade, and just flat out being the criminal enterprises that they are. And for all their hard work in keeping credit default swap (CDS) trading off exchanges - where prices would be transparent and honest.

Then again, who cares about that little corner of the market for that little product?  It's only estimated to be in the tens of trillions of dollars. They are weapons of financial mass destruction in the shaky hands of speculating shysters.

Okay, that's a hyperbole. There is a place for CDS, it's just not where it is now - which is everywhere.

How much will it cost banks? $1 billion? $10 billion? $100 million billion?

Who cares?

The banks will pay whatever they have to. They'll all still be in business. They're able to digest these "costs of doing business." They'll get bigger, and make enough profits to want to "reward shareholders" by raising their dividend payouts and buying back their stock.

Starting to get the picture?

Banks have become protected criminal enterprises.

They couldn't do what they do without two things...

Make that one thing, because the one thing really encompasses the two things. I was going to say with they operate under the auspices of their cronies in government - and the Federal Reserve or central banks everywhere. But forget the government stooges. They are beholden to the Fed and central banks, which they long ago sold their souls to.

Without central banks to bail out the banks they would fail. And they should. But they can't because they are too big to fail - and too big to jail.

Now that's a business model!

Oh, and why are governments around the world (case in point: the United States) able to run mega-deficits?

That would be because they're in bed with their cuddly central banker colluders, so they can print money to buy their never-ending, always-spewing bills, notes, and bonds that finance political pandering to the voters to stay in power.

They couldn't do it without central banks.

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Shah GilaniShah Gilani

About the Author

Browse Shah's articles | View Shah's research services

Shah Gilani boasts a financial pedigree unlike any other. He ran his first hedge fund in 1982 from his seat on the floor of the Chicago Board of Options Exchange. When options on the Standard & Poor's 100 began trading on March 11, 1983, Shah worked in "the pit" as a market maker.

The work he did laid the foundation for what would later become the VIX - to this day one of the most widely used indicators worldwide. After leaving Chicago to run the futures and options division of the British banking giant Lloyd's TSB, Shah moved up to Roosevelt & Cross Inc., an old-line New York boutique firm. There he originated and ran a packaged fixed-income trading desk, and established that company's "listed" and OTC trading desks.

Shah founded a second hedge fund in 1999, which he ran until 2003.

Shah's vast network of contacts includes the biggest players on Wall Street and in international finance. These contacts give him the real story - when others only get what the investment banks want them to see.

Today, as editor of Hyperdrive Portfolio, Shah presents his legion of subscribers with massive profit opportunities that result from paradigm shifts in the way we work, play, and live.

Shah is a frequent guest on CNBC, Forbes, and MarketWatch, and you can catch him every week on Fox Business's Varney & Co.

… Read full bio

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Michael Hirnak
Michael Hirnak
9 years ago

Shah, I am a little little guy whom needs help.

Mike

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