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Trading Strategies

These Stocks Will Be the Real Winners and Losers of the Election

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We're less than two weeks from the Nov. 3 presidential election, and the polls are gaining clarity. Democrats are going into next month's election with a clear advantage.

FiveThirtyEight's polling average gives Democratic presidential candidate Joe Biden an 87% chance of winning the race for the White House.

And according to Real Clear Politics, betting sites on average give Biden odds of 65.1% to win.

Meanwhile, Democrats are practically guaranteed to keep control of the House of Representatives, and now have a 70% chance of taking the Senate, too, according to FiveThirtyEight.

In short, the polls say we're going to get a "blue wave." Democrats are set to take the White House and both houses of Congress.

Of course the polls have been very wrong before, so we have to remind ourselves that they tell us probabilities, not certainties…

But if the "blue team" does win, that's going to mean a different take on green energy, stimulus, anti-trust, banking and environmental regulations, and much more. Stocks will definitely be affected.

We're already seeing some sectors rise in anticipation.

So today, I'll show you how to prepare your portfolio for a "blue wave" as well as what to do if the polls end up being wrong again… Full Story

So today, I'll show you how to prepare your portfolio for a "blue wave" as well as what to do if the polls end up being wrong again...

Trading Strategies

The Profitable Move to Make as We Wait Around for Stimulus

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The market's big struggle right now, its driving narrative, is between COVID-19 and the prospects of a new, multitrillion-dollar round of stimulus.

Stocks have rebounded over the past two days, after an apparent improvement in the president's COVID-19 symptoms merited his discharge from Walter Reed National Military Medical Center.

On the coronavirus front, investors seem to have digested the bigger picture: The virus remains a severe threat and a major disruptor, but death rates are declining right now, better therapeutics are available, and several vaccine candidates are on the horizon.

Against this backdrop, we've seen no convincing signs of progress in House Speaker Nancy Pelosi's and Treasury Secretary Steven Mnuchin's negotiations over a fresh multitrillion-dollar round of stimulus. The rally lost some significant "steam" on Tuesday after U.S. Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell and Speaker Pelosi stressed the need for fresh stimulus, then began a much steeper dive minutes after Trump said negotiations were off until after the November election.

White House-watchers and Wall Street insiders opined that Trump's abrupt move was likely a negotiating tactic, not the end of the stimulus road.

That's established the pattern investors will have to contend with: pullbacks, driven by stimulus worries, will be promptly followed by rallies, as coronavirus fears ease. Rinse and repeat, until further notice.

I'll tell you what I think of our stimulus chances, where the market will go next, and most importantly, the one profitable play you can make right now… Full Story

I'll tell you what I think of our stimulus chances, where the market will go next, and most importantly, the one profitable play you can make right now...

Dow Jones

Dow Jones Today Pinned by Weak Jobs Data

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The Dow Jones today is off after the Department of Labor reported weaker-than-expected job data in the weekly benefits report.

Weekly jobless claims came in at 1.3 million for the week, slightly higher than the consensus forecast of 1.25 million.

Coronavirus cases have topped 13.2 million cases worldwide.

Here's everything moving the Dow today....

Trading strategies

How We'll Surf (and Trade) the Looming Bankruptcy "Tidal Wave"

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Thousands of American companies – many of them publicly traded – are sliding towards bankruptcy.

The U.S. Federal Reserve is buying the bonds of some failing companies in an effort to keep them alive, but this is one strategy that's not going to work.

The coming tidal wave of bankruptcies will overwhelm the Fed's rescue efforts and could sink the stock market.

And here's how you can take the bit of "market intelligence" we're going to give you today - and turn it to your personal advantage...

stocks

Markets Live Recap: Unemployment in Focus Today

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This morning, United States weekly jobless claims came in at 4.4 million.

Just over 26 million Americans have now applied for unemployment… In the last 5 weeks.

That means the U.S. economy has wiped out all the job gains since the Great Recession.

Unemployment sits at 23% and it doesn't look like we're close to re-opening the economy any time soon.

Despite that, investors shrugged off the news, bidding up the S&P 500 about 1.7% to start the day.

But stocks turned over mid-day and closed about flat.

Here's what our experts - Chris Johnson, Tom Gentile, D.R. Barton, Jr., and Shah Gilani - saw in the financial markets today, April 23...

Stocks

Our Top Dividend Stock Won't Trade for Under $30 for Long

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Markets have roared since the Federal Reserve initiated three rate cuts in a row in the final months of 2019.

Great for growth investors, not so much for savers.

And it looks like the Fed might want to keep interest rates lower for longer.

In times like these, many investors look to the top dividend stocks for safety.

Today, we break down the biggest dividend news.

We'll also discuss a new dividend stock on our radar that is now a screaming "Buy."

Read more...

Dow Jones

The Dow Jones Today Struggles as a Trade Deal with China Looks Less Hopeful

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The Dow Jones today is tethered by concerns over new China-U.S. trade talks.

The nations are set to kick off negotiations on later this week.

However, investors are starting to doubt the scope of a deal, and analysts don't anticipate a deal to come to fruition until well into 2020.

Read more...