Start the conversation
Silver had a strong run in 2016, with year-to-date returns of 15% through the first 50 weeks of the year.
While silver prices have pulled back from the highs they hit over the summer, a number of silver stocks have outperformed the markets in 2016. Money Morning also remains bullish on the price of silver in 2017, which is bullish for silver stocks.
But before we tell you our 2017 forecast, let's look at the top silver stocks of 2016. Nine of the 10 stocks on this list boasted triple-digit returns in 2016.
One important note: Money Morning does not recommend these specific stocks. This is simply a report on the list of silver mining stocks that did the best this year and had a market capitalization of at least $100 million.
Here is the list of the 10 best silver stocks...
The Top 10 Silver Stocks of 2016
Silver Standard Resources
First, the No. 10 position is held by Silver Standard Resources Inc. (Nasdaq: SSRI), with an 81% advance. Its market cap is $963 million. SSRI is based in Vancouver and has properties throughout the Americas.
Pan American Silver
Pan American Silver Corp. (Nasdaq: PAAS) is in the No. 9 slot. It gained 162% this year. The current market cap is $2.2 billion. Pan American sells silver and gold in Mexico and South America.
The No. 8 top silver stock of 2016 is Buenaventura SAA (NYSE ADR: BVN), which rose 164%. Its market cap is currently $2.8 billion, and the company operates mostly in Peru.
The No. 7 top silver stock of 2016 is Fortuna Silver Mines Inc. (NYSE: FSM), with an increase of 166%. FSM's market cap is $873 million. Fortuna is another company that operates mostly in Mexico and South America.
First Majestic Silver Corp. (NYSE: AG) holds the No. 6 position. It has risen 167%, with a market cap of $1.4 billion. First Majestic develops silver properties throughout Mexico.
The No. 5 slot goes to Endeavour Silver Corp. (NYSE: EXK). EXK climbed 173% on the year, and its market cap is $493 million. EXK is a mineral company that works primarily in Chile and Mexico.
The No. 4 top silver stock of 2016 was Great Panther Silver Ltd. (NYSEMKT: GPL), which rose 203%. It has a market cap of $252 million. Great Panther is a penny stock, however, with the shares trading under $1.50 each.
Rounding out the top three silver stocks of the year is Hecla Mining Co. (NYSE: HL), which advanced 224%. Hecla Mining has a market cap of $2.4 billion. Hecla works mostly in the Northwest United States and Alaska.
The No. 2 top silver stock of 2016 is Hochschild Mining (OTCMKTS: HCHDF), which soared 304%. HCHDF's market cap is $1.5 billion, and the company is another penny stock that makes the list with shares trading near $2.40.
The top silver stock of 2016 by percentage gain is Alexco Resource Corp. (NYSEMKT: AXU), which rose a whopping 320%. AXU has a market capitalization of $132 million. The penny stock (shares trade at $1.25) is a silver miner in Canada.
Now that we've listed the top silver stocks of 2016 by percentage gains, here's why we remain bullish on silver heading into 2017...
The Price of Silver Expected Is to Rise in 2017
Money Morning Resource Specialist Peter Krauth does see the price of silver rising again ultimately in 2017. In fact, he expects it to reach the $19 per ounce range in Q1 2017. That's nearly a 19% rise from the current price of $16.01 per ounce.
Longer term, Krauth forecasts that silver could advance to the mid-$20s in six to nine months.
The price of silver is currently undervalued, and one of the best ways to determine the direction of silver is to look at the gold-silver ratio. Simply put, that's the ounces of silver it would take to purchase one ounce of gold. Gold currently trades for $1,141 per ounce. The gold-silver ratio at today's prices is thus 71.
Historically, it has traded more in the 55 range, a level it was trading at five years ago. A return to a 55 gold-silver ratio implies a $20.74 price per ounce for silver.
But the gold-silver ratio isn't the only factor likely to drive the per ounce price of silver higher. Another is incoming President Donald Trump's promise for large tax cuts across the board, for companies and individuals. He also has a plan for massive spending on infrastructure projects, to the tune of $1 trillion.
While both these promises have encouraged the stock market to climb more, eventually the spending plan is likely to be a factor causing increased inflation. The U.S. Federal Reserve has also signaled it is going to raise interest rates in 2017, and has just hiked rates for the first time in a year. Climbing bond yields can also contribute to inflation.
If inflation rises, silver will start to look like a safe-haven investment.
Silver Still Faces Some Short-Term Headwinds
So why has silver pulled back in the second half of 2016?
One factor is a stock market that has been rising more on being the only game in town rather than one that trades on fundamentals. A period of extremely low interest rates has made bonds unattractive, and investors have all gone to the market to get good returns.
The other factor related to silver pulling back is a rallying dollar. Since Trump was elected, the dollar has been rising steadily. Between Nov. 8 and the first week of December, it climbed more than 4%.
The dollar continuing to rise could work against the price of silver. But Krauth expects higher inflation to return sharply at some point. When it does, silver prices are likely to rise.
Editor's Note: An incredibly rare gold market anomaly is shaping up in the markets as we speak - one that has occurred ONLY twice in the past 20 years. And it's about to happen again. Details here...