Category

Precious Metals

Why Gold Will be the "Greatest Trade Ever"

Forget about all the forecasts being made for 2010. Here's my prediction for 2015: An entirely new name – John A. Paulson – will grace the coveted top of the annual Forbes billionaires list.

And the gap between Paulson and the runner-up billionaire will be huge.

Everyone knows that Bill Gates and Warren Buffet are America's – and the world's – two richest men. But the financial crisis of 2008 and 2009 was not kind to either of them, eradicating $17 billion of their combined net worth.

On that famed list, at No. 33, is where you'll find Paulson today.  The hedge-fund manager's financial acumen led to what is now being called the "the greatest trade ever." By shorting the subprime mortgage market, Paulson & Co. Inc. generated a $15 billion gain. 

Paulson's personal net worth of $6 billion is impressive in its own right. But over the next several years, I believe that Paulson's trading savvy will vault him into the top spot.

And the vehicle that will take him there is gold.

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Buy Sell or Hold: The SPDR Gold Trust ETF Will Rally in 2010, as Recent Dollar Strengthening Loses Steam

Gold prices surged to a record high $1226.10 an ounce on Dec. 3, but have since retreated. Meanwhile, the U.S. dollar has been weak for many months, but shown signs of strength in the past week.

So what's next for the dollar and the price of commodities like gold?

In order to answer that question we must look at the factors that brought us here: loose monetary policy and government stimulus.

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Why Gold Will Reach a Record $2,000 in 2010

Gold has surged 60% in the past 12months and it’s not letting up. The “yellow metal” is continuing that scorching surge into the last part of the year, establishing new highs on a near-daily basis. In fact, gold established yet another record price yesterday (Wednesday) when it peaked at $1,153.40 an ounce on the New York Mercantile Exchange (NYMEX).

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And the records are going to keep on coming.

With the U.S. dollar in a freefall and global gold demand rising, analysts say the precious metal will likely continue its bullish trend through at least the first half of 2010. It could rise as high as $2,000 an ounce, which would represent a 73% gain from current record levels.

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Warning: You May Not be Making as Much on Gold as You Think

Millions of investors who bought gold in the last 12 months are undoubtedly very happy at the moment – considering that the yellow metal has risen 60% since last November to a recent close of $1,138.60 an ounce on Monday.

But chances are good that many won't be smiling when they discover just what the taxman has planned for their gains.

Unbeknownst to most investors, gold is considered a collectible not a capital asset. In plain English, this means that despite the fact that many people believe they are investing in gold, the Internal Revenue Service (IRS) believes that they are collecting it.

Gold to Continue its Record Run as Central Banks Stock Up

Gold prices soared to another fresh record yesterday (Wednesday), driven mainly by speculation that central banks would continue to ramp up purchases of the precious metal.

Gold futures jumped as high as $11.30, or 1%, to $1,096.20 an ounce in morning trading on the New York Mercantile Exchange (NYMEX). And most analysts believe gold prices are bound to shoot even higher.

"Everything is pointing to the price of gold going higher," Mike Sander, an investment adviser at Seattle-based Sander Capital Advisors, wrote in an e-mailed report.

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A Year After the Crisis, the Global Economy is Firing on All Cylinders

What a difference 12 months can make.

Just one year after every national economy on earth was in deep trouble, a powerful global rebound is underway. In fact, the global upswing is a lot stronger than most investors realize.

So don't let a few days' decline here and there cause you to lose sight of one of the most important investing trends investors will find today.

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