The market is anxiously awaiting today's OPEC meeting at its Secretariat headquarters in Vienna.
But I'm not.
We have a virtual guarantee that the policy to extend the cap/cut in production will continue.
But that's not the real issue.
The combination of analyst angst prior to such a continuation and the slowly building production levels among U.S. operators is providing a short-term pause in the rise of oil prices.
Even with the 1.6% pullback over the past two trading sessions, WTI (West Texas Intermediate, the benchmark crude rate for futures contracts cut in New York) is still up by more than 2% for the week and a hefty 7.2% for the month.
In short, there is little genuine risk of a cascading pricing curve setting in because there are simply no underlying factors to justify such a move.
But volatility in a rather narrow range remains a possibility.
Nonetheless, today's extension will not be entirely good news.