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The Dow Jones Industrial Average is pushing higher Monday as investors anticipate an afternoon speech from Federal Reserve Chair Janet Yellen and crude oil prices were falling despite a weaker U.S. dollar.
Last week, the U.S. central bank increased interest rates for the first time since December 2015. Today, Yellen will speak at the University of Baltimore 2016 Midyear Commencement.
On Friday, the Dow dipped eight points but remained within striking distance of the critical psychological barrier of 20,000.
Let's look at the numbers from Friday for the Dow, S&P 500, and Nasdaq:
Dow Jones: 19,843.41; -8.83; -0.04%
S&P 500: 2,258.07; -3.96; -0.18%
Nasdaq: 5,437.16; -19.69; -0.36%
Here's a look at today's most important market events and stocks, plus a look at Monday's economic calendar.
What's Ahead for the Dow Jones Industrial Average Today
The Dow Jones industrial average projected a 14-point gain as we enter the final two weeks of the 2016 trading calendar. During the last two weeks, the markets can expect lower than average volumes, but that doesn't mean we couldn't be in for a few surprises. This week, the markets will receive a few key data points in the housing markets and a third and final update on the third-quarter gross domestic product (GDP).
Gold prices are trading modestly up Monday on short covering and perceived bargain hunting after prices hit a 10-month low last week. Money Morning Resource Specialist Peter Krauth explains that we just saw a very tough week for gold prices. And he outlines where gold prices are heading next with the Federal Reserve's rate hikes in focus. Read more here.
With interest rates on the rise, investors are wondering if the post-election rally is over. But here at Money Morning, we recommend that investors buy stocks now that can outperform the market regardless of what the Fed does with interest rates. That's why we've put together this guide on how to invest after an interest rate hike.
The WTI crude oil price today dipped slightly in pre-market hours – falling 0.1% – despite a weakening dollar against its rivals. Meanwhile, Brent crude fell 0.1% in pre-market hours, despite news that Libya will delay a lot of crude oil shipments and investors anticipate a greater supply and demand balance heading into 2017.
Money Morning Global Energy Strategist Dr. Kent Moors has said that the biggest challenge for OPEC and non-OPEC producers will be the enforcement of its deal. But Dr. Moors appeared on CNBC over the weekend and projected that $65 per barrel is within reach. So, what is the secret source of energy profits for investors heading into 2017? Dr. Moors answered that very question last week. Read it, right here.
But the big story this morning is the financial and energy deregulation on tap in Washington, D.C., by President-elect Donald Trump. The 45th president – assuming electors confirm his victory Monday – campaigned on some different promises to reduce bureaucracy and red tape and help streamline the U.S. markets. Of course, given the number of players from the financial sector on his transition team and presidential cabinet, it's clear which sector will receive the attention first.
Money Morning Global Credit Strategist Shah Gilani has a message to Washington on how to address deregulation. Though Americans hate overregulation, the big banks remain very unpopular with Americans in the wake of commodity price fixing, the financial crisis, and the Wells Fargo & Co. (NYSE: WFC) account scandal. That is why Washington should follow this plan.
Stocks to Watch Today, Dec. 19, 2016
- In deal news, shares of Canadian firm Fairfax Financial Holdings (OTCMKTS: FRFHF) dipped slightly after it announced an agreement to purchase Swiss insurance giant Allied World Assurance (NYSE: AWH) in an all cash and stock deal worth $4.9 billion. Shares of AWH stock rallied more than 9% in pre-market hours.
- In earnings news, shares of Lennar Corp. (NYSE: LEN) are in focus after the company topped Wall Street earnings and revenue expectations. The firm reported an earnings-per-share (EPS) figure of $1.34, while Wall Street expected $1.28 per share. The company's revenue increased by 15% compared to the same period last year to $3.38 billion, topping analysts' consensus expectations of $3.3 billion. The homebuilder said that it anticipated the U.S. housing market will continue its recovery despite the Federal Reserve's plans to hike interest rates three additional times in 2017.
- On a light day of earnings, lookout for a quarterly report from Worthington Industries (NYSE: WOR).
Today's U.S. Economic Calendar (all times EST)
- PMI Services Flash at 9:45 a.m.
- Four-Week Bill Announcement at 11 a.m.
- Three-Month Bill Auction at 11:30 a.m.
- Six-Month Bill Auction at 11:30 a.m.
- Federal Reserve Chair Janet Yellen speaks at 1:30 p.m.
An $80 Billion Cover-Up? Feds use obscure loophole to threaten retirees… Under the watchful eye of Congress, the government will soon be implementing a controversial plan that threatens the retirement of millions of Americans. And they're using an obscure loophole buried in Title 29 of the U.S. Labor Code to do it. If you have a 401(k), IRA, or any type of retirement account, this could cause you to miss out on $68,870 or more. Full Story
About the Author
Garrett Baldwin is a globally recognized research economist, financial writer, and consultant with degrees from Northwestern, Johns Hopkins, Purdue, and Indiana University. He is a seasoned financial and political risk analyst, with a focus on stocks, hedge funds, private equity, blockchain, and housing policy. He has conducted risk assessment projects for clients in 27 countries, and consulted on policy and financial operations for some of the nation's largest financial institutions, including a $1.5 trillion credit fund, a $43 billion credit and auto loan giant, as well as two of the largest Wall Street banks by assets under management.
Garrett joined Money Map Press as an economist and researcher in 2011, specializing in alternative strategies with an emphasis on fundamental and technical analysis.