A Bitcoin price prediction of $55,000 for as early 2022 suggests it’s not too late to buy despite the cryptocurrency’s steep 350% gains this year.
And that’s just one of several high-profile Bitcoin forecasts that put the price anywhere from $20,000 in five years to $100,000 in 10 years.
The Bitcoin price has hit several all-time highs in recent weeks. It happened most recently on Wednesday, when price of Bitcoin touched $4,522.13. As of midday today (Friday), the BTC price was hovering around $4,300.
Typically investors looking at that kind of parabolic rise assume they’ve missed the lion’s share of profits to be had.
But that’s not the case with Bitcoin...
Likening Bitcoin to the Internet
While Bitcoin has delivered monster returns since it was launched in 2009 – rising from fractions of a penny to thousands of dollars – it’s still at a very early stage.
“It looks to me as though we are at the same point in the adoption curve as we were in 1995, when we went from 1 million Internet users to 10 million,” Ronnie Moas of Standpoint Research told Money Morning. “The following year, the Netscape browser came online and we went from 10 million users to hundreds of millions of users overnight.”
That sort of thinking echoes what Bitcoin enthusiasts like venture capitalist Marc Andreessen have been saying at least since 2014.
And now that Wall Street stock analysts like Moas are thinking this way – and making the kind of stratospheric Bitcoin price predictions once heard only from devoted Bitcoin users – it’s starting to sink in that these forecasts could prove correct.
Last year, we saw several Wall Street analysts take stabs at a Bitcoin price prediction. Needham & Co. set a target of $2,231 by 2020 last September. At the time, with the Bitcoin price at about $600, it sounded ambitious. Of course, Bitcoin is worth nearly twice that forecast today.
Maybe that’s why this year analysts are making Bitcoin price predictions several orders of magnitude higher...
A Bitcoin Price Prediction of $50,000 in 10 Years
Take Moas, for instance. In late July, he released a 122-page report on cryptocurrencies in which he made a Bitcoin price prediction of $50,000 by 2027.
“It’s not unreasonable,” Moas said. “It’s possible that Bitcoin could get to $100,000 by 2027. So $50,000 is more than likely.”
His rationale for such huge gains is that Bitcoin today still has a very small number of users despite all the hype surrounding it.
“I expect that within a couple of years we will have between 50 million and 100 million cryptocurrency users - up from approximately 10 million today. We only have 0.15% market penetration right now - if that goes to 2% or 3%, we will get to the $50,000 price target that I set at the beginning of July,” Moas said.
Unlike most other analysts, Moas sees opportunity within the larger cryptocurrency space. His report discusses the potentials of Ethereum and Litecoin as well as Bitcoin.
He believes that 1% of the $200 trillion invested in stocks, bonds, and gold today will move into cryptocurrencies over the next decade. That’s 14 times the current total market cap of all cryptocurrencies, $144 billion.
Related: What's the Best Cryptocurrency to Invest in Today?
Moas also spends many pages of his report cautioning investors of the risks of cryptocurrencies. Here at Money Morning, we advise readers not to invest any money into cryptocurrencies that they can’t afford to lose.
On the other hand, investing a small portion of your portfolio into Bitcoin and other top cryptocurrencies is a no-brainer when you’re looking at potential returns of 1,000% or more.
Other Wall Street forecasters have even more aggressive Bitcoin price predictions...
How the Bitcoin Price Could Get to $55,000 in Just 5 Years
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Tom Lee, head of research at Fundstrat Global Advisors, made a Bitcoin forecast in early July that put the cryptocurrency’s price between $20,000 and $55,000 as early as 2022 – just five years away.
"I think Bitcoin is an under-owned asset with potential for huge institutional sponsorship coming," Lee said on CNBC's "Fast Money" last week.
In Lee’s analysis, Bitcoin will grab a chunk of the “alternative currencies” market, which is almost entirely gold. He estimates Bitcoin will get 5% of that $7.5 trillion market over the next five years.
“Cryptocurrencies are cannibalizing demand for gold," Lee said in his July research note.
Kay Van-Petersen of Saxo Bank believes the price of Bitcoin could reach $100,000 in 10 years, right in line with Lee’s Bitcoin price prediction.
"This is not a fad, cryptocurrencies are here to stay," Van-Petersen told CNBC in a phone interview in May. "There will emerge two to three main ones. Bitcoin will be one of those. And the reason is the first-mover advantage, the scale, and the pioneering."
Van-Petersen bases his Bitcoin forecast on the currency trading markets. He sees cryptocurrencies taking 10% of the foreign exchange market’s average daily volume of $5 trillion.
He figures all cryptocurrencies will take 10% of that market by 2027, with Bitcoin accounting for 3.5%. That equates to $175 billion worth of Bitcoin traded every day. Currently, the average daily volume is about $2.5 billion.
Van-Petersen estimates Bitcoin’s market cap would be 10 times the average daily volume, putting it at $1.75 trillion. He divides that by what he believes will be a coin supply of 17 million, arriving at $100,000.
Looking at these lofty predictions, today’s Bitcoin price of $4,200 doesn’t seem all that high anymore.
“I think we are still in the first quarter of a four-quarter game, and even though I missed out on significant gains (2014-2016), it is not too late to get in,” Moas wrote in his report.
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Related Articles:
- CNBC: Top Wall Street Strategist Expects Bitcoin to Be the Best Asset Through Year-End
- CNBC: Bitcoin Could Hit $100,000 in 10 Years, Says the Analyst Who Correctly Called Its $2,000 Price
About the Author
David Zeiler, Associate Editor for Money Morning at Money Map Press, has been a journalist for more than 35 years, including 18 spent at The Baltimore Sun. He has worked as a writer, editor, and page designer at different times in his career. He's interviewed a number of well-known personalities - ranging from punk rock icon Joey Ramone to Apple Inc. co-founder Steve Wozniak.
Over the course of his journalistic career, Dave has covered many diverse subjects. Since arriving at Money Morning in 2011, he has focused primarily on technology. He's an expert on both Apple and cryptocurrencies. He started writing about Apple for The Sun in the mid-1990s, and had an Apple blog on The Sun's web site from 2007-2009. Dave's been writing about Bitcoin since 2011 - long before most people had even heard of it. He even mined it for a short time.
Dave has a BA in English and Mass Communications from Loyola University Maryland.