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Stocks

Now is the Season for Investing in Gold-mining Stocks

If you're not investing in gold-mining stocks now, you should be.

Why now?

Analysts at TIS Group reminded me last week that not only are gold-mining stocks very cheap now versus gold bullion, but this also happens to be the best time of the year to buy the stocks.

The gold miners' cycle usually bottoms in August and peaks in March, putting us just a bit after the start of the strong period.

That makes it buying season for gold-mining stocks.

Play Gold's Rise by Investing in Gold-Mining Stocks

The rise in gold miners during last year's buying season was fairly dramatic.

From Aug. 31 last year through the following 14 weeks, the Market Vectors ETF Trust(NYSE: GDX), which is comprised of the larger miners, was up 28%, while Market Vectors Junior Gold Miners(NYSE: GDXJ), comprised of smaller producers, was up 48%.

Members of my service captured a bunch of those gains. That was at a time when gold itself was up only 20%, but looking back that was when gold started its trajectory from $1,300 in November to almost $1,900 now.

Gold-mining stocks then went sideways in anticipation of the end of the U.S. Federal Reserve's second round of quantitative easing (QE2) at the end of June, but have now broken out again, as the accompanying chart shows.

Why would the miners improve?

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What to Expect from this Week's FOMC Meeting

The next Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting starts tomorrow (Tuesday), and investors expect Fed Chairman Ben Bernanke to announce some form of stimulus measures for the U.S. economy. Investors anticipate the Fed to announce at Wednesday's conclusion new efforts to reduce long-term interest rates to allow for cheaper borrowing as well as to increase […]

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2011 IPOs: Busts and Bargains

A volatile stock market has pushed many of this year's initial public offerings (IPOs) underwater, but some of the better-positioned companies are holding their own.

So while there have been many IPO busts, there also are some bargains out there.

Consider that 48 of the 76 companies that went public this year – 63% — are trading at a price below their initial offer, according to data from Dealogic.

Indeed, many of the IPOs that had big pops on their first day have since fallen dramatically.

Epocrates Inc. (Nasdaq: EPOC), which rose 37% on its first day of trading, is now more than 38% below its IPO price. Demand Media Inc. (NYSE: DMD) shot up 33% in its debut in January, but is now 53% below its $17 IPO price.

Recent declines in the overall market have not only dinged IPOs from earlier this year – they've given pause to companies in the IPO pipeline.

A record 215 companies have withdrawn their IPOs so far this year. The previous record was set in 2008, when 214 companies withdrew their plans to list.

"Nobody wants to IPO into this fiasco of a market," Alec Levine, an equity derivatives strategist at Newedge Group told CNBC. "There's just massive liquidity risk. It would be great if you IPO'd the last 2 days, but awful if you IPO'd the previous 2 days-and so on."

Yet some companies, even several that had strong first days, have managed to stay in positive territory despite the rocky market conditions.

One of the most successful 2011 IPOs has been LinkedIn Corp. (NYSE: LNKD), which soared 109% on its first day. LinkedIn closed Friday at $87.65 – close to double its $45 IPO price. Servicesource International Inc. (NYSE: SREV) popped 35% on its first day and remains an impressive 54% above its IPO price.

And as a group, 2011's IPOs have outperformed the Standard & Poor's 500 Index by about 6.5%, although the stronger companies have generally done far better.

So let's take a closer look at a few of the busts – and some companies that now look like smart buys — from this year's IPO class:

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The Looming Bear Market: What You Can do That Washington Can't and Wall Street Won't

I just finished a battery of media appearances on Fox Business, Bloomberg, BNN and CNBC Asia, and without exception I was asked about two things: President Barack Obama's jobs bill and the U.S. Federal Reserve's "QE3."

The first thing investors and analysts alike want to know is whether or not the president's jobs bill will work. The answer to that question is "no" – not as it stands, anyway.

The second question is whether or not Fed Chairman Ben S. Bernanke will further extend the central bank to help the economy. Well, I do think the Fed will intervene, but I don't believe for a second that the central bank's intervention will help the U.S. economy.

As a result, we're likely to see stocks enter into a bear market and retest their March 2009 lows.

I know that's a terrifying thought. But to be perfectly honest, there's nothing President Obama or Bernanke can do at this point. If companies don't want to spend the $2 trillion worth of cash they're hoarding, there's very little the government can do to encourage them to loosen their purse-strings.

That said, I want to give you five specific steps to take to protect yourself from the looming bear market, preserve your sanity – and even profit.

But before I get to that, you need to understand the dangers that are fast approaching.

A Roadblock to Recovery

President Obama and Chairman Bernanke can toss all the money they want at the economy. But no amount of spending can change the fact that we need the following three things to get our market moving again. They are:

  1. Sustained demand.
  2. A solution to the European sovereign debt crisis.
  3. And a bottom in housing prices.

As it currently stands, the U.S. economy will be lucky to log 1% growth this year, which is even lower than the anemic 1.5% I predicted in my annual forecast in January.

That's pathetic for a nation that spent more than $1.4 trillion of borrowed money on "stimulus." This lackluster growth is also evidence that the Obama administration's $800 billion stimulus plan – and the Fed's two rounds of quantitative easing – did absolutely nothing to salvage our economy.

Citizens are scared silly. Businesses are uncertain. They're uncertain of regulatory changes, uncertain of taxes, and uncertain about their overall economic environment. So they're doing what rational people do when confronted with the unknown: They're hunkering down.

And with good reason.

The typical U.S. family got poorer during the past 10 years due to a decade-long income decline. Median household income fell to $49,995 last year, and is now 7% below where it was in 2000. The number of people living in poverty has risen to 15.1%, the highest level since the U.S. Census began tracking this information in 1959.

It should also be noted that a large portion of that decline is directly attributable to inflation, which the Fed continues to assert is "transitory."

Out of the Fire…

You may be holding out hope that the president's jobs plan will help turn things around – but it won't.

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Don't Miss the Stock Breakout for Ag Leader Monsanto Co. (NYSE: MON)

Higher food prices aren't disappearing any time soon – meaning it's time to revisit one of the best "Buys" in the agricultural industry – Monsanto Co. (NYSE: MON).

I first called Monsanto Co. a "Buy" in October 2010, when I told you the company had started a rebound that would pay off for investors. The stock was trading at $56 a share and down 34% for the year – compared to an 11% gain in the Standard & Poor's 500 Index.

Since my recommendation, Monsanto has reversed its downward trend and is up more than 23% — almost triple the S&P 500's 3.4% rise. The stock hit a 52-week high of $77.09 on July 25 before recent volatility dented its comeback. Monsanto stock closed Friday at $69.77.

If you missed getting a position on Monsanto the first time around, it's not too late. This innovative global Ag leader is still taking off.

You see, St. Louis, MO-based Monsanto is the largest producer of seeds to commercial farms. With food prices expected to increase 4% next year, and global reserves dwindling, demand for Monsanto's products will rise.

This means Monsanto should see record-high seed prices and margins.

Not only that, Monsanto has a competitive edge: It's a leader in creating genetically modified seeds that help crops reach levels of productivity unimaginable a few decades ago.

So it's time – again – to buy Monsanto Co. (**) – especially if you didn't get a chance to pick it up last year. If you already have shares, I suggest you continue holding them and possibly look to add to your position.

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These Money Manager Stocks Will See Pay Day, Not Pain, from Market Turmoil

Recent market volatility has scared mutual fund investors out of stock funds and into more diversified investments – opening the door for you to profit from a rebound in the top money manager stocks.

Anxious mutual fund investors pulled a net $21.4 billion from U.S. stock mutual funds in August after the Dow Jones Industrial Average had two of its top-10 worst days ever on Aug. 4 and Aug. 8, according to industry consultant Strategic Insight.

These recent single-day plunges erased billions in retirement holdings' value – and fund investors are tired of the quick losses.

"You can't keep having bombs, so to speak, go off," Andrew Goldberg, a market strategist at JPMorgan Funds, told Bloomberg. "If the second you walk outside another one goes off, you're going to stay inside for longer, and that's what's going on."

Now mutual fund investors are looking for more globally diversified funds and a broader range of asset classes, meaning companies offering those will be able to cash in on the changing fund-investing environment.

Not only that, these companies' share prices have hit new lows, meaning now's the time to get the top money manager stocks at a steep discount.

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We Warned You U.S. Stocks Could Plunge - Here's the Safety Play You Need to Make Now

U.S. stocks reversed course in the final minutes of trading yesterday (Monday) to push the Dow Jones Industrial Average back over 11,000 – but that still wasn't enough to make a dent in the index's 4.8% loss so far this month.

Europe debt fears and dismal economic news have caused the Dow to fall in five of this month's seven trading sessions, each time by more than 100 points.

We warned you September would be a tough market month – several times.

What's more, we showed you how to protect yourself.

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Investment Protection: These Dividend Stocks Yield Twice as Much as Treasuries

Do you know what the ultimate investment protection is?

It's not gold, and it's certainly not Treasuries.

It's dividend stocks.

Companies that pay consistent dividends are in better fiscal shape than the U.S. government and the payouts significantly outpace those of Treasuries. The advantage over gold of course is that the yellow metal yields nothing – it's simply a store of value.

And yet dividend stocks also protect against inflation, since profits for the companies behind them tend to rise alongside prices.

To understand the advantages dividends can provide an investor during a down market, just look at the implosion of the dot-com bubble in 2000.

According to Morningstar research, the Standard & Poor's 500 Index lost 9%, while dividend-oriented mutual funds – including high-yielding stocks in the financial-services, mutual-fund and real-estate sectors – gained anywhere from 10% to 30%.

And I shouldn't need to remind you that dividends account for the majority of the stock market's returns.

A study by Yale economist Robert Shiller showed that in the 109 years from 1889 to 1998, the average real return on common stocks was 7%, of which 4.7% was represented by dividends.

While stock prices have been plunging, dividend payments are rising. Through Aug. 31, 243 companies in the Standard and Poor's 500 Index increased or initiated a dividend payment. In fact, dividend payments are expected to end 2011 up 18% from 2010.

That's the case for dividend stocks. Now I'm going to give you some potent investment ideas to help you get on board.

Investing in Dividend Stocks

Generally speaking, there generally are two types of dividend stocks. There are large blue chips, which have a reliable but modest payout. And then there are the obscure companies, which have a higher yield but less safety.

In the first set you'll find companies like

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Investing In Wine: How To Invest In Wine For Profit

At a time when the only thing consistent in the stock market is volatility, investing in wine offers you steady profit growth – with a more fun, tasty experience than your typical investment opportunity.

You can't buy a share of Google and have close friends over to drink some of it. You can, however, have good company over to taste your 1989 Bordeaux. David Sokolin, a highly respected wine merchant with years of experience, states that IGW ("Investment Grade Wines") should return between 10 and 12 percent annually. He also says that they will also do this with lower volatility compared to stocks and bonds. For example, from 2002-2007, Coca-Cola's stock (NYSE:KO) went up 9.72%. If you were to buy a case of 2005 La Mission Haut Brion back in 2008 for $7,800, you might expect it to be valued at $30,000 in the year 2018, a 284.6% gain!

That's pretty impressive for a bunch of fermented grape juice.

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Chesapeake Energy Corp. (NYSE: CHK) Could Be the Sector's Best Takeover Target

When you hear the term "takeover target," you typically think of a small biotech or technology company – but that's not the case here.

I've found a company that logged $1.4 billion of adjusted EBIDTA and $1.2 billion of operating cash flow. And it just happens to be the second-largest natural gas producer in the United States.

I'm talking about Chesapeake Energy Corp. (NYSE: CHK) – a company that has increased production for 21 consecutive years.

In addition to being the second largest U.S. gas company, Chesapeake is the No. 1 horizontal-well driller in the world, and the most active new-well driller in the United States. The company holds a large portfolio of shale properties, and it plans to triple profitable liquids production.

Even aside from the fact that the company is an attractive takeover target, Chesapeake has enough going for it that it deserves a place in our portfolio.

So it's time to buy Chesapeake Energy Corp. (**).

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