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Macy's Inc

Trading Strategies

What You Didn't Hear About Black Friday Could Cost You Big Profits

Thanksgiving in the Barton house is all about gratitude. We're thankful for such a wide range of blessings – time with family and friends, delicious food, and yes, even a little football.

But once Thanksgiving is over, aside from a glance or two at a smartphone or laptop, no one even considers venturing out into Black Friday.

As one of only two states east of the Mississippi that doesn't have sales tax (New Hampshire is the other), Delaware malls and stores in general get overrun on big shopping days. The Bartons avoid that fray – but thousands of others jump right in…

As do millions more all around the country.

Americans spent $4.2 billion at online sales alone on Thanksgiving Day, and another $7.4 billion on Black Friday.

That second number alone is up 19.6% from last year's Black Friday.

I certainly can't fault the retailers for putting on those sales.

For them, Thanksgiving, Black Friday, and the weekend after can make or break their whole year.

The five days from Thanksgiving Day through Cyber Monday are the highpoint of the holiday shopping months of November and December.

And just those two months make up between 20% and 30% of annual sales for American retailers.

So with Cyber Monday now behind us, you'd think the news would tell you which retailers did well, which didn't, and most importantly, what you should do about it.

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Trading Strategies

How to Play the Growing Retail Divide This Holiday Season

When I started Total Wealth, I promised you that I would cover the best trading tips, tactics, and techniques for today's markets, including specific trading methods when headlines make the case for doing so.

Today, I'm going to keep that promise with a trade based on a recent story in Fortune that caught my attention: "Black Friday Weekend Will Deepen the Divide Between Retail's Winners and Losers."

We've talked about the retail "divide" in great depth many times both here in Total Wealth and in our paid sister-service, the Money Map Report, and I've characterized the ongoing battle as "Amazon versus everybody else." We also invested accordingly (and very successfully if you're following along as directed, I might add).

Today's trade, though, is about the "everybody else" in that phraseology. Not Amazon.

This is important stuff because the retail "divide" that makes this trade work is going to create fortunes for savvy investors who understand the dynamic and – sadly – wreck more than a few portfolios for those who don't.

Obviously, I want you to be amongst the fortune-builders.

Here's how to line up big profit potential even if the markets turn...

Dow Jones

The Dow Jones Today Is Fighting Trade Jitters

The Dow Jones today will reflect growing uncertainty over a trade deal between the United States and China.

This could be offset by one of the busiest retail earnings days of the year. Expect earnings reports from Macy's (NYSE: M), Nordstrom (NYSE: JWM), Gap (NYSE: GPS) and other retailers to keep the Dow today steady.

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Dow Jones

The Dow Jones Industrial Average Will Lose 400 Points on Today's Inverted Yield Curve

The Dow Jones Industrial Average could lose up to 400 points today as investors have begun pouring capital out of equity markets and into fixed income positions (bonds).

The 10-year U.S. Treasury bond yield slipped below that of the two-year yield.

The so-called inversion of the yield curve has been a fairly reliable indicator of past recessions.

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