GLD

Gold SPDR

The Fed

Recession Will Start by Feb. 3, 2020, Courtesy of the Fed

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Jerome Powell and the central bank will send the U.S. economy hurtling into contraction mode no later than the winter after next.

How can I be so sure of my claim? Well, one very reliable indicator is flashing red.

In fact, it's so dependable that since 1980, it has predicted the advent of every recession, right around a year to 18 months ahead of time.

And right now, it's approaching the critical level.

See, the Fed's raising of short-term rates is causing the yield curve to flatten. From there, it's a short trip to outright inversion. Once it inverts, two-year Treasuries will yield more than 10-year Treasuries.

Once that happens, a major peak in stocks – then a recession – is all but totally certain within the next year and a half.

When that happens, the world's going to run for this uncommonly cheap insurance I know about - but you'll already be set up...

Gold

The Best Way to Invest in Gold Today

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I'm frequently asked about gold.

Over the years, it's been a great investment, but lately… (sigh).

Let's just say the shiny stuff has hardly lived up to expectations.

Part of that is due to the dynamics of the gold market itself, and part of that is due to the fascination with cryptocurrencies.

Let's talk about each of those things, then move onto a great way – perhaps even the only way – to play gold today.

Gold has historically been driven by its relationship to inflationary expectations, to interest rates, and to physical supply. Generally speaking, gold prices move inversely to economic prosperity.

You can actually see that quite clearly when you compare the SPDR Gold Shares ETF to the S&P 500. Prices tracked almost in tandem from 2009 to mid-2012, then broke when investors finally decided that the post-financial crisis recovery had teeth.

Now, with geopolitical concerns rising and interest rates on the uptick, many investors are wondering if gold could "shine" again.

I wouldn't bet on it.

As of last November, The Wall Street Journal reported that retail gold sales were at the lowest levels in a decade. Mohamed El-Erian, chief economic advisor to Allianz SE, even went so far as to warn that cryptocurrencies could pose a serious long-term threat to gold.

My sentiments exactly.

The situation is so bad that even gold purchasers buying directly from the U.S. Mint are reportedly getting pinched as dealers stockpile coins they can't sell. Sales volumes have dropped off a cliff.

There are simply not a lot of buyers, nor are there likely to be. But that doesn't mean all is lost.

You can still profit from gold if you know where to look and which tactics to use...

Market Crash

Our 2018 Stock Market Crash Protection Plan Will Protect Your Money When the Dow Plunges

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The Dow Jones Industrial Average plunged 1,175 points yesterday (Feb. 5), the single largest one-day drop ever.

With that sort of sudden drop in the Dow, it's natural to be concerned about protecting your retirement, and your wealth.

But we're here to remind investors that now is not the time to panic. Our experts are here to help you find solid footing as the market plunges into uncertainty...

Trading Strategies

Here's Why Resource Investors Are Going to Look So Smart

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Sometimes everything comes together beautifully.

And when that happens in the markets, incredible gains are possible.

Here's what I mean…

Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development (OECD) data indicates that, for the first time since 2008, none of the G7 economies are in recession right now. Indeed, as of Q3 2017, "no major economy is in contraction mode."

And much more importantly, the emerging economies, especially China and India, which routinely lead the world in economic growth, are seeing robust, convincing expansion, too.

This is the real deal: synchronized global growth. It's happening right now.

Global manufacturing data hit at its highest level in six years. The Global Manufacturing Purchasing Managers Index (PMI) is above its 90-day moving average. At last read, it was at 54.4 and has been effectively "stuck" above the important 50-point mark since mid-2016.

All of this growth means demand for resources is rocketing right now. The crushing, five-year bear market that ravaged the Commodity Research Bureau (CRB) commodity index and vaporized 60% of its value is a distant memory. The CRB has already recovered close to 25% of those losses – and the fact of synchronized global growth means lots more gains are in store.

What's more, the relative costliness of just about every other investing segment means the resource market just might be the last great untapped value out there.

To show us how to take advantage of this incredibly rare confluence of conditions, Money Morning Director of Research Matt Warder - a veteran of resource investing - sat down with me to talk about the things any investor can do to take full advantage of what's happening out there right now... Get the Interview

Gold

The Best Gold Stock to Buy in 2018 Is 2.6X More Profitable Than Gold

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A gold bull market is underway. We predict gold prices will hit $1,500 by the end of 2018 and could surge more than 300% by 2020.

That's why, today, we'll show you our best gold stock to buy in 2018.

Investors could take advantage of this trend by owning physical gold or gold-backed exchange-traded funds (ETFs) like SPDR Gold Shares.

But Krauth says one of the most lucrative ways to play the gold bull market is through gold mining stocks.

The stock we'll show you today is nearly three times more profitable than just holding gold...

Gold

Why Buying Gold Is a Good Idea in 2018

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Buying gold is a good idea in 2018 for investors not only looking to protect their wealth, but to also grow it.

That's because the price of gold will rally next year, according to Money Morning Resource Specialist Peter Krauth. He expects gold prices to hit $1,350 by late February 2018.

Here are three reasons why we're raising our gold price forecast - and whether it's better for you to buy physical gold or gold stocks and ETFs...